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ferrariChampions2026

0xfe78…0319polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
-$14.5k
Win rate
20.0%
20 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$1.45k
30d PnL
-$14.5k
30d trades
100
30d wins
2
2.0%
30d volume
$457.6k
Category edge
Sports
27.8%
-15.3pp
n=18

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
27.8% (5 wins / 13 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $2,096 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.28 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $2.10k · p90 $13.0k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 16:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
— 2332.416667 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Bucks on Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
— 634.36 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Bulls on Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
— 427.46 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5
— 498.93 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
— 4864.81 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
— 5840.877552 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
— 5840.877552 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
— 5840.877552 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
— 16446.54 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Over on Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
— 30936.957447 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
— 4418.22 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Suns on Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
— 44702.71 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5
— 2624.09 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5
— 162.5 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Timberwolves on Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
— 26175.96 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 210.5
— 450.97 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5
— 9131.72 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Bulls on Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
— 4791.25 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Dayana Yastremska on Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Zeynep Sonmez
— 170 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Clippers on Raptors vs. Clippers
— 70014.97 @ 0.370
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Clippers on Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
— 21308.925715 @ 0.541
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Over on Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
— 2373.85 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5
— 23878.89 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Celtics on Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
— 31107.95 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Atalanta BC on Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
— -$3.50k · 7447.893618 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Avalanche on Avalanche vs. Blackhawks
— 4333.820896 @ 0.670
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Kings on Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
— 271 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Bruins on Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
— 8068.53 @ 0.710
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 225.5
— 21949.921569 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Heat on Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
— 31389.229167 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Hornets on Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
— 303.57 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Hornets on Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
— 15809.4 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Bucks on Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
— 18810.02 @ 0.540
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5
— 888.71 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Pelicans on Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
— 818.08 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
— 5208.07 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
— 12267.79 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Grizzlies on Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
— 3481.58 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Atalanta BC on Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
— -$139.09 · 309.08 @ 0.450
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Pacers on Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
— 28063.73 @ 0.460
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Grizzlies on Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
— 1642.85 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Kings on Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
— 296.156863 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
— 818.02 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Pelicans on Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
— 10272.23 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Avalanche on Avalanche vs. Blackhawks
— 19045.716418 @ 0.670
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Avalanche on Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
— 37883.71 @ 0.450
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Under on Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5
— 295.15 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-5.5)
— 261 @ 0.590
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
— 8645.31 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xfe78…0319why? →
Warriors on Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
— 19419.207548 @ 0.528
Integrity indicators
LOWTrade of $13,850 moved price by 57.5% vs expected 19.00% (3.0× excess)
LOW3 wallets placed same-direction trades within 500ms on 1 occasion (1% of this wallet's trades)

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.