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0xea58…d547

0xea58…d547polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$259.68
Win rate
41.8%
42 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$4.18
30d PnL
$229.74
30d trades
100
30d wins
23
23.0%
30d volume
$13.9k
Category edge
Sports
29.7%
-13.4pp
n=64
Crypto
36.0%
-10.0pp
n=25

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
31.5% (28 wins / 61 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$229.74
-$1.09k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 75%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 75% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.46 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $96 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.03 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 46¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $96.49 · p90 $313.71
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5
— 431.217392 @ 0.230
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5
— 492.846154 @ 0.390
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5
— 320.650589 @ 0.503
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5
— -$290.61 · 593.081633 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
— +$344.64 · 604.627907 @ 0.430
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-11-02?
— 383.125 @ 0.320
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-31?
— -$192.21 · 492.846154 @ 0.390
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
CD Leganés on Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-2.5)
— +$235.33 · 388.501459 @ 0.394
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
— -$5.70 · 569.79 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
CD Leganés on Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)
— +$330.29 · 478.67742 @ 0.310
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Under on CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
— 443.81 @ 0.002
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-02?
— -$49.64 · 198.56 @ 0.250
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
potn9ki on Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
— 109.54 @ 0.499
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Hugo Dellien on Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
— -$0.46 · 458.56 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
— +$347.57 · 569.794872 @ 0.390
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-02?
— -$0.44 · 436.04 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on CS Huancayo vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 2.5
— -$31.80 · 69.130435 @ 0.460
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on CS Huancayo vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 2.5
— -$16.28 · 34.42 @ 0.473
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-11-02?
— -$95.69 · 328.052334 @ 0.292
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on CS Huancayo vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 2.5
— -$96.38 · 215.420667 @ 0.447
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Hugo Dellien on Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
— +$216.56 · 458.567593 @ 0.528
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
potn9ki on Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
— 109.548824 @ 0.333
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Real Oviedo vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
— -$81.74 · 628.8 @ 0.870
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-02?
— +$340.12 · 436.045455 @ 0.220
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Real Oviedo vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
— +$370.99 · 628.804879 @ 0.410
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
HellNight- on Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
— 376.85 @ 0.963
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
HellNight- on Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
— 177.367347 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
HellNight- on Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C
— 199.489796 @ 0.484
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Under on CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
— 443.81579 @ 0.380
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Down on Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
— -$1.89 · 5.4 @ 0.350
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Down on Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
— -$23.87 · 67.735 @ 0.352
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
— +$17.43 · 27.763158 @ 0.372
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
— -$280.06 · 1077.153847 @ 0.260
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
— -$477.55 · 868.272728 @ 0.550
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5
— -$290.75 · 581.5 @ 0.500
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5
— -$192.86 · 419.26087 @ 0.460
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
AS Monaco FC on Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)
— -$190.88 · 545.371429 @ 0.350
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Under on Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
— +$300.78 · 493.076924 @ 0.390
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Under on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
— -$83.49 · 232.444445 @ 0.359
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Under on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
— -$26.25 · 75 @ 0.350
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Over on Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
— -$288.87 · 687.785715 @ 0.420
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01?
— -$139.02 · 408.882353 @ 0.340
↓SELL·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Real Madrid CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
— -$90.58 · 754.81 @ 0.880
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Real Madrid CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
— +$441.10 · 754.81 @ 0.416
↓SELL·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-01?
— -$0.33 · 329.79 @ 0.999
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-01?
— -$191.44 · 517.405406 @ 0.370
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?
— +$242.93 · 391.81579 @ 0.380
↓SELL·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
1. FC Nürnberg on Spread: 1. FC Nürnberg (-1.5)
— -$0.16 · 155.28 @ 0.999
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-01?
— +$234.15 · 329.793104 @ 0.290
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xea58…d547why? →
Yes on Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-11-01?
— +$343.57 · 413.941177 @ 0.170
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.