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ferdinand2

0xe550…be3fpolymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
-$2.51
Win rate
66.7%
67 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.28
30d PnL
-$2.51
30d trades
100
30d wins
6
6.0%
30d volume
$1.05k
Category edge
Sports
58.8%
+15.7pp
n=17

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
58.8% (10 wins / 7 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $3 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 4.16 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $2.75 · p90 $4.80
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5
— 5 @ 0.410
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
George Mason Patriots on UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots
— 5 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5
— 5 @ 0.240
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
— 533.84 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: Athletic Club O/U 3.5
— 32.26 @ 0.031
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Predators on Hurricanes vs. Predators
— 681.54 @ 0.350
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.550
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: CA Platense 1st Half O/U 0.5
— 5 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: CA Platense 1st Half O/U 0.5
— 5 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.610
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.370
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 2.5
— 5 @ 0.740
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 2.5
— 5 @ 0.740
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 2.5
— 5 @ 0.740
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
FC Alverca on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
— 5 @ 0.960
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
FC Alverca on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
— 5 @ 0.960
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5
— 5 @ 0.960
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
FC Alverca on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
— 5 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5
— 5 @ 0.850
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Bulls on Spread: 76ers (-27.5)
— 14 @ 0.920
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.930
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 11.12 @ 0.090
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Blooming win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Blooming win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.930
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 5 @ 0.960
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Rafael Tosetto on Costa do Sauipe: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Rafael Tosetto
— 5 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Under on Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: O/U 0.5
— 5 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 14.29 @ 0.070
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 14.29 @ 0.070
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 14.29 @ 0.070
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?
— 25 @ 0.040
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
FC Cajamarca on Spread: CS Cristal (-2.5)
— 8.34 @ 0.110
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
FC Cajamarca on Spread: CS Cristal (-2.5)
— 7.7 @ 0.110
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 10 @ 0.100
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 10 @ 0.100
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 10 @ 0.100
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?
— 20 @ 0.050
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?
— 20 @ 0.050
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5
— 25 @ 0.040
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-02?
— 16.67 @ 0.060
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
Yes on Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-02?
— 16.67 @ 0.060
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xe550…be3fwhy? →
No on Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-02?
— 5 @ 0.940
Integrity indicators
LOW3 wallets placed same-direction trades within 500ms on 1 occasion (1% of this wallet's trades)

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.