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godprey

0xda3a…d4b3polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
-$2.74k
Win rate
37.0%
37 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$101.53
30d PnL
-$2.74k
30d trades
100
30d wins
10
10.0%
30d volume
$16.9k
Category edge
Crypto
43.5%
-2.6pp
n=92

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
43.0% (40 wins / 53 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$3.10k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 97%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 97% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.84 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $200 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.78 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $200.00 · p90 $200.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 04:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
— 384.615385 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
— 391.200193 @ 0.511
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 128.205129 @ 0.390
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 606.060607 @ 0.330
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 5 @ 0.360
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— -$67.23 · 6239.31 @ 0.011
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— -$44.29 · 1822.83 @ 0.024
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— -$88.48 · 2547.7875 @ 0.035
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— -$0.61 · 611.11 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— +$75.00 · 125 @ 0.400
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— +$286.12 · 486.117143 @ 0.411
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— -$50.00 · 500 @ 0.100
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— -$50.00 · 227.272728 @ 0.220
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— -$0.44 · 437.02 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$36.21 · 86.206897 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$66.28 · 116.27907 @ 0.430
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$63.64 · 113.636364 @ 0.440
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$70.90 · 120.904762 @ 0.414
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
— +$85.14 · 135.135136 @ 0.370
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
— +$50.78 · 100.784314 @ 0.496
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
— +$206.24 · 406.2358 @ 0.492
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$50.00 · 200 @ 0.250
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$50.00 · 156.25 @ 0.320
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$50.00 · 156.25 @ 0.320
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— -$5.50 · 550.03 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— +$106.25 · 156.25 @ 0.320
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— +$193.79 · 393.787451 @ 0.508
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— -$200.00 · 504.849 @ 0.396
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— -$50.00 · 78.362969 @ 0.638
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— -$50.00 · 88.982457 @ 0.562
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— -$200.00 · 327.868853 @ 0.610
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
— -$9.43 · 943.39 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
— +$12.77 · 212.76595 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
— +$17.57 · 67.567565 @ 0.740
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
— +$173.20 · 373.204364 @ 0.536
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
— +$89.86 · 289.85507 @ 0.690
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
— -$5.70 · 569.76 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
— +$94.17 · 294.169118 @ 0.680
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
— +$75.60 · 275.596025 @ 0.726
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
— +$54.89 · 668.97 @ 0.082
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
— -$100.00 · 161.477418 @ 0.619
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
— -$50.00 · 81.967212 @ 0.610
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
— -$200.00 · 425.531915 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Pistons on Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
— 769.23077 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Daniel Michalski on Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren
— -$77.22 · 208.702703 @ 0.370
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
— -$200.00 · 356.33772 @ 0.561
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
— -$200.00 · 372.984546 @ 0.536
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
— -$200.00 · 402.2416 @ 0.497
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
— -$200.00 · 387.576922 @ 0.516
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xda3a…d4b3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
— -$200.00 · 400 @ 0.500
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.