Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1273.18 @ 0.986
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SC
ScottyNooo
All-time PnL
$12.0k
Win rate
66.7%
67 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$4.01k
30d PnL
$12.0k
30d trades
100
30d wins
2
2.0%
30d volume
$287.2k
Category edge
World
85.7%
+24.2pp
n=7
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
87.5% (7 wins / 1 misses)Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
World Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 75%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 75% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.79 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $714 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 2.02 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 79¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $713.82 · p90 $7.51k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 18:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 730 @ 0.983
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 18585 @ 0.990
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 625.43 @ 0.985
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 40 @ 0.987
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 50 @ 0.988
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 10117.63 @ 0.989
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1398.59 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 250 @ 0.970
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 1221.08 @ 0.988
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 587.18 @ 0.979
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 2360 @ 0.989
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1500 @ 0.980
Yes on Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 1118.03 @ 0.963
Yes on Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 843.78 @ 0.965
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
— 724.57 @ 0.980
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 17305.52 @ 0.977
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 3678.2 @ 0.960
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 500 @ 0.969
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1540 @ 0.968
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 7492.12 @ 0.978
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 7737.38 @ 0.971
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 7438.09 @ 0.969
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 4176.73 @ 0.959
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 960 @ 0.942
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 132.6 @ 0.954
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 149.5 @ 0.933
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 1805.42 @ 0.940
Yes on Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 13.63 @ 0.890
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1636.56 @ 0.938
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 6613.44 @ 0.948
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 15 @ 0.919
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 10 @ 0.919
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 69 @ 0.893
Yes on Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 5 @ 0.880
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.862
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 27.72 @ 0.854
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 461.91 @ 0.853
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 230 @ 0.852
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 50.22 @ 0.852
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 641.78 @ 0.821
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 992.03 @ 0.849
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 220 @ 0.849
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
— 720.01 @ 0.830
Yes on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 130 @ 0.154
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 2316.01 @ 0.895
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1984.84 @ 0.869
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 2292.29 @ 0.888
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 1613.01 @ 0.857
Yes on Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
— 340 @ 0.847
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.