Luis Felipe Miguel on Costa do Sauipe: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Luis Felipe Miguel
— 250 @ 0.949
← leaderboard
MO
Montecarlaw
All-time PnL
$973.50
Win rate
66.7%
67 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$29.28
30d PnL
$966.26
30d trades
100
30d wins
22
22.0%
30d volume
$38.3k
Category edge
Sports
62.3%
+19.2pp
n=53
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
63.6% (35 wins / 20 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 15-day series
$542.20
-$53.53
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 88%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 88% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.66 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.64 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $78 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.14 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 64¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $78.47 · p90 $962.40
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Thu 13:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Hugo Dellien on Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
— +$74.35 · 1813.17 @ 0.959
Hugo Dellien on Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
— +$46.69 · 667 @ 0.930
Hugo Dellien on Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
— +$4.59 · 24.17 @ 0.810
Hugo Dellien on Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
— +$328.60 · 1291 @ 0.745
No on Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 5.64 @ 0.910
No on Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 101.06 @ 0.496
Yes on Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 250 @ 0.790
No on Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 5971.12 @ 0.851
Leonardo Storck Franca on Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
— +$1.55 · 77.5 @ 0.980
Leonardo Storck Franca on Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
— +$8.43 · 280.99 @ 0.970
Leonardo Storck Franca on Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
— +$1.05 · 15 @ 0.930
Leonardo Storck Franca on Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
— +$7.20 · 44.99 @ 0.840
No on Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 21 @ 0.600
Samuel Heredia on Charlottesville: Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia
— 709.76 @ 0.500
Samuel Heredia on Charlottesville: Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia
— 4666.37 @ 0.500
No on Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
— 15 @ 0.210
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Vienna, Austria?
— +$0.50 · 5 @ 0.900
Carlos Alcaraz on Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz
— +$20.00 · 250 @ 0.920
No on Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 139.09 @ 0.538
Yes on Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 69 @ 0.687
Yes on Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 529.5 @ 0.017
Yes on Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
— 4999.94 @ 0.870
No on Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 2600 @ 0.804
Yes on Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
— 2500 @ 0.870
No on Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 101.14 @ 0.966
No on Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 898.53 @ 0.802
Yes on Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 15 @ 0.140
No on Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 512.02 @ 0.681
Yes on Will Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 469.98 @ 0.987
Yes on Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 41.02 @ 0.150
Taylor Fritz on Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils
— +$102.77 · 790.5 @ 0.870
Yes on Will Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 530 @ 0.999
Yes on Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 250 @ 0.990
Yes on Will Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 100 @ 0.982
Yes on Will Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 100 @ 0.997
Liam Draxl on Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov
— +$298.24 · 1500 @ 0.801
No on Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 64 @ 0.419
Yes on Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 296.75 @ 0.708
Yes on Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 126.99 @ 0.371
Jiri Lehecka on Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri Lehecka
— +$20.00 · 250 @ 0.920
Yes on Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 90 @ 0.058
Jiri Lehecka on Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri Lehecka
— +$25.00 · 500 @ 0.950
Carlos Alcaraz on Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz
— +$55.00 · 500 @ 0.890
Susan Bandecchi on Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot
— -$162.50 · 250 @ 0.650
Susan Bandecchi on Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot
— -$285.00 · 500 @ 0.570
No on Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 20.01 @ 0.820
No on Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 20 @ 0.399
Yes on Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 551 @ 0.660
Yes on Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
— 120.08 @ 0.324
Integrity indicators
LOWWin rate 62.3% vs market-implied 43.1% (z=2.82) in Sports over 53 markets
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.