⌘K
← leaderboard
LA

lagoness

0xa178…11a2polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$601.88
Win rate
53.4%
53 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$6.32
30d PnL
$366.72
30d trades
100
30d wins
31
31.0%
30d volume
$10.8k
Category edge
Sports
38.8%
-4.3pp
n=80

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
38.8% (31 wins / 49 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 28 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$15.69
-$563.41
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.44 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.58 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.59 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 58¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $190.42
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 17:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Red Bull Bragantino vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score AND CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Independiente: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5
— 360.428873 @ 0.268
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5 AND Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 249.083405 @ 0.999
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-02?
— 242.44 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-02?
— 214.285715 @ 0.350
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-02?
— 28.16 @ 0.340
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5 AND Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score AND Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 249.083405 @ 0.193
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
— 222.222223 @ 0.360
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-11-02?
— -$0.21 · 212.76 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?
— +$244.83 · 344.827587 @ 0.290
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?
— -$46.51 · 232.55 @ 0.800
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5
— -$0.19 · 190.61 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5
— +$64.62 · 184.615385 @ 0.650
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5
— +$2.94 · 6 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-11-02?
— +$112.77 · 212.765958 @ 0.470
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5
— -$0.15 · 150 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5
— +$105.00 · 150 @ 0.300
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will FC Inter Turku vs. IF Gnistan end in a draw?
— -$30.00 · 250 @ 0.120
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-11-02? AND Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-11-02?
— 171.899006 @ 0.863
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?
— +$132.56 · 232.55814 @ 0.430
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on Real Oviedo vs. UD Las Palmas: Real Oviedo O/U 1.5
— -$0.08 · 78.79 @ 0.999
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will FK Zenit win on 2026-11-02?
— -$0.15 · 153.84 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on Real Oviedo vs. UD Las Palmas: Real Oviedo O/U 1.5
— +$40.97 · 78.791667 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-11-02?
— -$60.00 · 130.434783 @ 0.460
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-11-02? AND Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-11-02?
— 171.899007 @ 0.453
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will FK Zenit win on 2026-11-02?
— +$53.85 · 153.846154 @ 0.650
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
— 119 @ 0.999
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will FK Zorya Luhansk win on 2026-11-02?
— -$0.16 · 163.46 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
— 119 @ 0.700
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will FK Zorya Luhansk win on 2026-11-02?
— +$78.46 · 163.461539 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
— +$43.24 · 100.561404 @ 0.570
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on Portland Timbers vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
— +$29.84 · 71.05 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Portland Timbers on Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)
— -$90.00 · 290.967742 @ 0.309
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
No on Los Angeles FC vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score
— -$65.00 · 196.969697 @ 0.330
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5
— -$0.16 · 159.09 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5
— +$54.09 · 159.090908 @ 0.660
↓SELL·5d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5 AND Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?
— 285.702914 @ 0.740
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5 AND Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-11-01?
— 137.781087 @ 0.373
↓SELL·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will New England Revolution win on 2026-11-01?
— +$54.44 · 257.14 @ 0.212
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5 AND Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01?
— 285.702914 @ 0.339
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will New England Revolution win on 2026-11-01?
— -$90.00 · 257.142858 @ 0.350
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Yes on Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-11-01?
— -$55.89 · 242.99 @ 0.230
↓SELL·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score AND CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5 AND Atlanta United FC vs. Toronto FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 2.5
— 231.733777 @ 0.280
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on CA Belgrano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5
— +$66.67 · 166.666667 @ 0.600
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score AND CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5 AND Atlanta United FC vs. Toronto FC: Atlanta United FC O/U 2.5
— 231.733779 @ 0.250
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
— -$91.43 · 130.614286 @ 0.700
↓SELL·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5
— -$0.09 · 92.93 @ 0.999
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5
— +$38.10 · 92.932204 @ 0.590
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
— -$100.00 · 163.934425 @ 0.610
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
on Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 AND Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01?
— 199.780878 @ 0.285
↑BUY·6d agostale·0xa178…11a2why? →
Over on US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5
— -$130.00 · 213.114753 @ 0.610
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.