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0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396

0x9e3e…f882polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
-$136.22
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$14.29
30d PnL
-$114.33
30d trades
100
30d wins
4
4.0%
30d volume
$6.35k
Category edge
Crypto
27.3%
-18.8pp
n=11
Sports
50.0%
+6.9pp
n=10

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
38.1% (8 wins / 13 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 7 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 72%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 72% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.52 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.42 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $9 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.81 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 42¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $9.23 · p90 $190.47
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Liquid on Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
— 6.627907 @ 0.430
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
— 2.415582 @ 0.770
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Nicolas Mejia on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 8 @ 0.290
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
on Red Bull Bragantino leading at halftime? AND Goiás EC leading at halftime?
— 2596.685496 @ 0.130
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Botic van de Zandschulp on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 380.92 @ 0.190
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
on Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) AND Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5
— 3.157369 @ 0.306
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
GODS PLAN on Counter-Strike: GODS PLAN vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A
— 3.1 @ 0.400
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-11-02?
— 38.594595 @ 0.370
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Down on BNB Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
— 45.206667 @ 0.103
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
on Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline AND Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5 AND Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline
— 1083.641265 @ 0.286
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
on Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) AND Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5
— 1.135732 @ 0.308
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Over on Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
— 17.962265 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Santos FC on Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
— 37.310811 @ 0.740
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2?
— 164.962069 @ 0.028
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
— -$3.73 · 373 @ 0.010
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
on Thunder vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5 AND Raptors vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 104.5 AND Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 213.5
— 1119.623745 @ 0.332
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Down on BNB Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
— 14.307693 @ 0.130
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Down on BNB Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
— 17.397273 @ 0.107
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
— -$3.73 · 131.7 @ 0.028
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC Alverca?
— 100 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
— 34.339286 @ 0.560
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Santos FC win on 2026-11-02?
— 1174.688966 @ 0.288
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
— -$3.73 · 28.692308 @ 0.130
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 4.5
— 54.724138 @ 0.870
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 4.5
— 109.459769 @ 0.870
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Northern Kentucky Norse on Northern Kentucky Norse vs. UTEP Miners
— 67.54 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Over on CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 0.5
— 68.602142 @ 0.930
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 202.62 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
GODS PLAN on Counter-Strike: GODS PLAN vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A
— 3.5 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
— -$2.17 · 7.01 @ 0.310
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
— -$9.34 · 34.592593 @ 0.270
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-11-02?
— 11.9 @ 0.400
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
— 23.75 @ 0.010
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 FC Alverca?
— 100 @ 0.956
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
GODS PLAN on Counter-Strike: GODS PLAN vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A
— 5.204082 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-11-02?
— 50.1 @ 0.190
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
on Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A AND Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B AND Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B AND Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A AND Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
— 93.965906 @ 0.097
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Botic van de Zandschulp on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 409.52 @ 0.230
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Under on Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
— 9.48 @ 0.550
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Cavaliers on Thunder vs. Cavaliers
— 47.61 @ 0.610
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?
— -$0.03 · 32.64 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
— 202.62765 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will CD Tecnico Universitario win on 2026-11-02?
— 2.835821 @ 0.670
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5
— 13 @ 0.200
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— +$4.81 · 53.3956 @ 0.910
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Yes on Will CD Limache win on 2026-11-02?
— 2.753622 @ 0.690
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
on CD Concepción vs. CD Palestino: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Red Bull Bragantino vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Goiás EC vs. CR Brasil: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 0.5
— 869.106879 @ 0.315
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 178.853659 @ 0.410
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Over on CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5
— 9.52 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9e3e…f882why? →
Botic van de Zandschulp on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 380.92 @ 0.250
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.