Trading pattern
Politics-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Politics 42%
Why Politics-Leaningmedium confidence · 24 trades
Category focus: Politics 42% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.50 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.47 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $2 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.56 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
⚠ Based on 24 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
avg 47¢ · 24 trades
Position sizing
median $2.00 · p90 $964.97
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 22:00 · 24 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
— 1576.748365 @ 0.612
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
— 1512.859305 @ 0.661
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
— 1615.384614 @ 0.650
↑BUY·10d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
— 80 @ 0.625
↓SELL·330d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $110 before 2026??
— -$0.23 · 2.93 @ 0.920
↑BUY·333d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
— -$1.00 · 5 @ 0.200
↑BUY·333d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
— +$1.92 · 3.921567 @ 0.510
↑BUY·336d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $110 before 2026??
— +$0.73 · 2.933332 @ 0.750
↑BUY·336d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $95 before 2026??
— +$1.33 · 2.32558 @ 0.430
↑BUY·336d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6?
— -$1.00 · 5 @ 0.200
↑BUY·336d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
— -$1.00 · 29.411763 @ 0.034
↓SELL·337d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
— +$0.24 · 3.44 @ 0.070
↓SELL·337d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
— -$1.02 · 1.91 @ 0.465
↓SELL·337d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
— +$0.30 · 3.57 @ 0.085
↓SELL·337d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
— 10.99 @ 0.684
↑BUY·342d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
— +$0.91 · 1.910304 @ 0.523
↑BUY·342d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
— -$2.00 · 3.571427 @ 0.560
↑BUY·346d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?
— +$0.47 · 2.469134 @ 0.810
↓SELL·346d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
— 5 @ 0.490
↑BUY·349d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
— -$5.00 · 50 @ 0.100
↑BUY·349d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
— 14.666664 @ 0.750
↑BUY·349d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → No on Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
— 1.333332 @ 0.750
↑BUY·349d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
— -$1.00 · 3.448274 @ 0.290
↑BUY·349d agostale·0x997d…27b5why? → Yes on Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
— -$1.00 · 11.11111 @ 0.090
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.