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TI

Tiradentes

0x98dc…e3f0polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$188.26
Win rate
49.4%
49 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.19
30d PnL
$168.61
30d trades
100
30d wins
38
38.0%
30d volume
$5.99k
Category edge
Crypto
48.5%
+2.4pp
n=97

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
48.5% (47 wins / 50 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.56 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $25 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.47 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 56¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $25.00 · p90 $192.96
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 16.8 @ 0.580
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 178.57 @ 0.670
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 178.571429 @ 0.560
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— -$25.00 · 42.372882 @ 0.590
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— +$7.39 · 16.8 @ 0.560
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— +$1.93 · 4.2 @ 0.540
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— -$0.84 · 16.8 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$6.38 · 16.8 @ 0.620
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— -$1.95 · 2.1 @ 0.930
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$14.11 · 16.8 @ 0.840
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— -$9.74 · 16.8 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
— +$25.00 · 50 @ 0.500
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$10.46 · 49.82 @ 0.790
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— +$6.65 · 31.64557 @ 0.790
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— +$8.18 · 18.181817 @ 0.550
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— -$8.90 · 16.8 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— +$0.94 · 2.1 @ 0.550
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— -$0.88 · 2.1 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— +$1.07 · 2.1 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
— +$46.15 · 96.153847 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
— -$25.00 · 49.019608 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
— -$8.46 · 16.8 @ 0.504
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
— +$2.35 · 4.2 @ 0.440
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
— -$1.01 · 2.1 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
— +$0.92 · 2.1 @ 0.560
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
— +$2.06 · 4.2 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
— -$0.57 · 2.1 @ 0.270
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
— +$0.42 · 2.1 @ 0.800
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— +$18.86 · 43.859648 @ 0.570
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
— +$3.89 · 13.888889 @ 0.720
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
— -$38.23 · 98.03 @ 0.610
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
— +$48.04 · 98.039216 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
— -$36.00 · 70.588236 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
— +$9.72 · 34.722221 @ 0.720
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— +$75.44 · 175.438597 @ 0.570
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— -$5.00 · 11.363637 @ 0.440
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$85.19 · 185.185186 @ 0.540
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
— -$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
— -$25.00 · 54.347827 @ 0.460
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
— -$10.00 · 22.727273 @ 0.440
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
— +$6.39 · 16.393443 @ 0.610
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
— +$369.23 · 769.23077 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
— -$400.00 · 783.6325 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
— -$200.00 · 392.156863 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
— -$100.00 · 178.571429 @ 0.560
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
— -$50.00 · 98.039216 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
— -$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
— +$42.59 · 92.592593 @ 0.540
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
— +$10.56 · 35.563379 @ 0.703
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x98dc…e3f0why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
— +$2.48 · 7.477612 @ 0.669
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.