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0x9086ECc713bc35f307d7bA3c87D1c1c1C1514D46-1767707884278

0x9086…4d46polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$4.85k
Win rate
48.3%
48 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$55.79
30d PnL
$4.85k
30d trades
100
30d wins
42
42.0%
30d volume
$41.1k
Category edge
Sports
43.9%
+0.8pp
n=98

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
43.9% (43 wins / 55 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 10-day series
$4.85k
-$1.88k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.84 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.47 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $300 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.70 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 47¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $300.00 · p90 $500.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Nicolas Mejia on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 3846.153847 @ 0.260
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?
— 8670.8225 @ 0.115
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-31?
— -$833.33 · 3333.33 @ 0.750
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-31?
— +$2.33k · 3333.333334 @ 0.300
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?
— -$500.00 · 1724.137932 @ 0.290
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Henrique Rocha on Costa do Sauipe: Tomas Barrios vs Henrique Rocha
— -$500.00 · 819.67213 @ 0.610
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-02?
— -$500.00 · 2006.6 @ 0.249
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Bianca Andreescu on Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Bianca Andreescu
— +$824.11 · 1324.112369 @ 0.378
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Aliaksandra Sasnovich on Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
— +$377.19 · 877.192983 @ 0.570
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01?
— -$15.20 · 35 @ 0.434
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
— +$1.54k · 2037.84 @ 0.245
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Andrej Martin on Bratislava 2: Andrej Martin vs Eero Vasa
— -$39.84 · 104.1 @ 0.383
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-01?
— -$500.00 · 1162.790698 @ 0.430
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?
— -$169.56 · 652.17 @ 0.740
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?
— +$352.17 · 652.173914 @ 0.460
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?
— +$293.65 · 793.650794 @ 0.630
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Terence Atmane on Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong
— +$245.45 · 545.454546 @ 0.550
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Blackhawks on Blackhawks vs. Bruins
— -$500.00 · 1025.531633 @ 0.488
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
— +$2.63k · 3125 @ 0.160
↓SELL·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Lorenzo Sonego on Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar
— -$201.17 · 1257.3 @ 0.840
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Jiri Lehecka on Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff
— +$258.33 · 758.333332 @ 0.659
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Lorenzo Sonego on Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar
— +$766.60 · 1257.3 @ 0.390
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Nauhany Leme Da Silva on Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Alice Tubello
— -$500.00 · 1724.137932 @ 0.290
↓SELL·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Sebastian Baez on Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Damir Dzumhur
— -$235.71 · 714.28 @ 0.670
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Julia Grabher on Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Julia Grabher
— +$425.93 · 925.925926 @ 0.540
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will SK Artis Brno win on 2026-10-31?
— -$500.00 · 980.392157 @ 0.510
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Sebastian Baez on Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Damir Dzumhur
— +$314.29 · 714.285715 @ 0.560
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Jets on Jets vs. Panthers
— -$500.00 · 1375.675676 @ 0.363
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Max Hans Rehberg on Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko
— -$195.34 · 446.65 @ 0.437
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Joaquin Aguilar on Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon
— +$338.30 · 638.297873 @ 0.470
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Yes on Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?
— +$1.02k · 1515.151516 @ 0.330
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Alex de Minaur on Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur
— +$224.64 · 724.63768 @ 0.690
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Joao Lucas Da Silva on Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
— +$155.24 · 455.235205 @ 0.659
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Elsa Jacquemot on Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva
— +$322.47 · 622.474552 @ 0.482
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Jerome Kym on Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Jiri Lehecka
— -$500.00 · 1351.351352 @ 0.370
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Julia Grabher on Curitiba: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Grabher
— +$338.30 · 638.297873 @ 0.470
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Clement Tabur on Brest: Martin Damm vs Clement Tabur
— -$300.00 · 882.352942 @ 0.340
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Holger Rune on Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
— -$500.00 · 877.192983 @ 0.570
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Noma Noha Akugue on Courmayeur: Ayla Aksu vs Noma Noha Akugue
— +$333.33 · 833.333332 @ 0.600
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Mona Barthel on W75 Glasgow: Alicia Dudeney vs Mona Barthel
— -$300.00 · 522.379311 @ 0.574
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Mona Barthel on W75 Glasgow: Alicia Dudeney vs Mona Barthel
— -$29.64 · 52 @ 0.570
↑BUY·8d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Alexandra Eala on Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
— -$300.00 · 394.736841 @ 0.760
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Jets on Jets vs. Lightning
— -$500.00 · 1428.571429 @ 0.350
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Ben Shelton on Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
— -$300.00 · 666.666667 @ 0.450
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Ben Shelton on Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
— -$164.19 · 328.37 @ 0.500
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Polona Hercog on Queretaro: Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova
— -$500.00 · 862.068966 @ 0.580
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Jan-Lennard Struff on Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff
— +$611.11 · 1111.111112 @ 0.450
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Valentin Vacherot on Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar
— +$711.27 · 1211.265477 @ 0.413
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Elena Rybakina on Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
— +$26.09 · 326.08695 @ 0.920
↑BUY·9d agostale·0x9086…4d46why? →
Naomi Osaka on Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova
— -$500.00 · 1063.829788 @ 0.470
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.