Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 153.061225 @ 0.490
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EM
empty888
All-time PnL
-$2.81k
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$102.47
30d PnL
$1.66k
30d trades
37
30d wins
3
8.1%
30d volume
$7.25k
Category edge
Crypto
23.5%
-22.5pp
n=34
World
80.0%
+17.5pp
n=5
Politics
33.3%
-6.0pp
n=12
Economy
50.0%
avg
n=8
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
33.9% (20 wins / 39 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 21-day series
$8.37
-$4.94k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 60%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 60% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.44 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $125 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.02 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 44¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $125.00 · p90 $250.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 14:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 265 @ 0.283
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
— 1071.42 @ 0.040
Yes on Will Solana reach $130 in November?
— 807.63 @ 0.033
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?
— 625 @ 0.080
Yes on Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in November?
— 500 @ 0.110
Yes on Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?
— 936.07 @ 0.085
Yes on Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 678.94 @ 0.169
Yes on Will Solana reach $130 in November?
— 807.632 @ 0.093
Yes on Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in November?
— 500 @ 0.150
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
— 1071.428572 @ 0.070
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?
— 625 @ 0.120
Yes on US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?
— 226.982143 @ 0.551
Yes on Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
— 3044.42 @ 0.039
No on Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
— 363.725634 @ 0.687
Yes on Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 678.947369 @ 0.184
Yes on Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?
— 936.071429 @ 0.134
Yes on Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
— 2180.39 @ 0.392
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
— 694.444445 @ 0.180
No on Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 367.647059 @ 0.680
No on Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
— 294.117646 @ 0.850
Yes on Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
— 2180.393163 @ 0.115
No on US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027?
— 317.068025 @ 0.788
No on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
— 328.947369 @ 0.760
No on Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
— 345.787124 @ 0.723
Yes on Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
— -$100.00 · 500 @ 0.200
Yes on Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
— 254.237287 @ 0.590
Yes on Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
— 254.237287 @ 0.590
Yes on Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
— -$100.00 · 526.31579 @ 0.190
Yes on Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
— -$2.96 · 370.37 @ 0.992
Yes on Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
— -$9.91 · 519.24 @ 0.981
Yes on Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
— -$61.78 · 519.23 @ 0.881
Yes on Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
— -$360.59 · 1038.46 @ 0.653
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
— +$97.22 · 347.222223 @ 0.720
Yes on Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
— +$270.37 · 370.370371 @ 0.270
Yes on Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
— +$1.98k · 2076.9328 @ 0.048
Yes on Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
— 354.60993 @ 0.705
Yes on Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
— 369.494595 @ 0.677
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 396.825397 @ 0.630
Yes on Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 268.8172 @ 0.930
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$488.69 · 842.568964 @ 0.580
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 232.655171 @ 0.290
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 418.926 @ 0.239
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 625 @ 0.160
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 1250 @ 0.080
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 1428.571427 @ 0.070
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$800.00 · 1951.219511 @ 0.410
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$965.59 · 1788.129628 @ 0.540
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$200.00 · 289.855071 @ 0.690
No on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 263.157891 @ 0.760
Integrity indicators
LOWWin rate 23.5% vs market-implied 46.0% (z=-2.63) in Crypto over 34 markets
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.