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halifaxpredictor

0x82ce…dbd6polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$98.21
Win rate
45.2%
45 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.17
30d PnL
-$100.41
30d trades
17
30d wins
8
47.1%
30d volume
$2.61k
Category edge
Sports
47.6%
+4.5pp
n=84

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
46.1% (41 wins / 48 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 54-day series
$660.89
-$757.02
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 94%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 94% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.41 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $110 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.49 (consistent) — Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 41¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $110.00 · p90 $150.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5
— 300 @ 0.500
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Eagles on Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
— -$150.00 · 277.777778 @ 0.540
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Cowboys on Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
— -$150.00 · 272.727273 @ 0.550
↑BUY·7d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 44.5
— +$122.73 · 272.727273 @ 0.550
↑BUY·10d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Under on Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5
— +$122.73 · 272.727273 @ 0.550
↑BUY·14d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Texans on Spread: Texans (-9.5)
— -$150.00 · 272.727273 @ 0.550
↑BUY·14d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Seahawks on Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
— +$170.37 · 370.370371 @ 0.540
↑BUY·14d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Broncos on Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
— +$122.73 · 272.727273 @ 0.550
↑BUY·21d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Cowboys on Cowboys vs. Packers
— -$150.00 · 306.122449 @ 0.490
↑BUY·23d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5
— +$138.46 · 288.461539 @ 0.520
↑BUY·23d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Broncos on Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
— +$150.00 · 300 @ 0.500
↑BUY·28d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Bears vs. Packers: O/U 46.5
— -$150.00 · 300 @ 0.500
↑BUY·30d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Rams on Spread: Rams (-2.5)
— -$150.00 · 267.857143 @ 0.560
↑BUY·30d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Commanders on Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
— -$150.00 · 288.461539 @ 0.520
↑BUY·30d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Packers on Spread: Bears (-1.5)
— +$144.12 · 294.117648 @ 0.510
↑BUY·34d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 51.5
— +$138.46 · 288.461539 @ 0.520
↑BUY·34d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Jets vs. Bears: O/U 42.5
— -$160.00 · 296.296297 @ 0.540
↑BUY·38d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Bengals on Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
— -$150.00 · 288.461539 @ 0.520
↑BUY·39d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Broncos on Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
— -$150.00 · 258.62069 @ 0.580
↑BUY·39d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Cardinals on Cardinals vs. Giants
— -$160.00 · 301.886793 @ 0.530
↑BUY·41d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Rams on Rams vs. Broncos
— -$125.00 · 250 @ 0.500
↑BUY·42d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Cardinals Team Total: O/U 19.5
— +$122.73 · 272.727273 @ 0.550
↑BUY·43d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Browns on Spread: Panthers (-2.5)
— +$150.00 · 300 @ 0.500
↑BUY·44d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5
— +$144.12 · 294.117648 @ 0.510
↑BUY·45d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5
— -$150.00 · 283.018868 @ 0.530
↑BUY·47d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Rams on Spread: Rams (-6.5)
— +$138.46 · 288.461539 @ 0.520
↑BUY·48d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Josh Downs: Receptions O/U 4.5
— +$61.11 · 111.111112 @ 0.450
↑BUY·48d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5
— +$99.82 · 221.818182 @ 0.550
↑BUY·48d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Alvin Kamara: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5
— -$120.00 · 200 @ 0.600
↑BUY·49d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
— +$101.54 · 211.538462 @ 0.520
↑BUY·52d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Seahawks on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
— +$105.69 · 215.686275 @ 0.510
↑BUY·53d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Lions vs. Bills: O/U 53.5
— +$110.77 · 230.769231 @ 0.520
↑BUY·53d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5
— -$110.00 · 220 @ 0.500
↑BUY·55d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Panthers on Spread: Bears (-3.5)
— -$120.00 · 206.896552 @ 0.580
↑BUY·55d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
CLE on Spread: JAX (-8.5)
— -$110.00 · 219.607844 @ 0.501
↑BUY·55d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Jaguars Team Total: O/U 24.5
— +$97.92 · 207.924529 @ 0.529
↑BUY·58d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 55.5
— +$103.53 · 235.303572 @ 0.560
↑BUY·58d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Appalachian State on Spread: East Carolina (-7.5)
— +$100.21 · 213.207548 @ 0.530
↑BUY·58d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on California vs. Syracuse: O/U 56.5
— -$108.00 · 207.692308 @ 0.520
↑BUY·59d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Colts on Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
— -$117.00 · 216.666667 @ 0.540
↑BUY·61d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Patriots on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
— +$100.21 · 213.207548 @ 0.530
↑BUY·61d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Under on SMU vs. Florida State: O/U 55.5
— +$96.72 · 204.716982 @ 0.528
↑BUY·63d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Alabama on Spread: Alabama (-27.5)
— +$102.22 · 222.222221 @ 0.540
↑BUY·64d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Miami (FL) vs. Stanford: O/U 46.5
— +$92.87 · 189.52941 @ 0.510
↑BUY·64d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Jets on Spread: Titans (-2.5)
— +$102.22 · 222.222221 @ 0.540
↑BUY·66d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Saints vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
— +$100.00 · 200 @ 0.500
↑BUY·66d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
49ers on Spread: Rams (-4.5)
— +$102.22 · 222.222221 @ 0.540
↑BUY·83d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Over on Bears vs. Panthers: O/U 45.5
— +$106.36 · 236.363635 @ 0.550
↑BUY·86d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Colts on Colts vs. Patriots
— 192.307691 @ 0.520
↑BUY·109d agostale·0x82ce…dbd6why? →
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
— -$50.00 · 13942.85 @ 0.004
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.