No on Will more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
— 99.98 @ 0.992
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BU
buoys
All-time PnL
$34.70
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$19.0k
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independentlyTrading pattern
Politics Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Politics 68%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 68% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: +0.36 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.37 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $75 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.69 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 37¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $75.15 · p90 $492.25
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 21:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
— 200 @ 0.830
No on Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
— 342 @ 0.820
No on Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
— 300 @ 0.830
Yes on Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
— 190.476191 @ 0.021
Yes on Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
— 1052.41 @ 0.008
Yes on Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
— 1400 @ 0.005
Yes on Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
— 1250 @ 0.012
Yes on Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
— 457.79 @ 0.251
Yes on Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
— 344.19 @ 0.056
Yes on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
— 176.73 @ 0.150
Yes on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
— 937.5 @ 0.160
No on Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
— 82.12 @ 0.680
Yes on Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
— 481.21 @ 0.680
Yes on JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
— 912.5 @ 0.800
No on Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
— 333.72 @ 0.760
Yes on Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
— 142.72 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
— 181 @ 0.250
Yes on Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
— 1470.19 @ 0.204
Yes on Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?
— 533.02 @ 0.780
Yes on Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
— 303.98 @ 0.866
Yes on Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
— 106.92 @ 0.140
Yes on Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
— 345 @ 0.094
Yes on Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
— 348.18 @ 0.167
Yes on Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
— 1163.89 @ 0.827
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
— 263.157895 @ 0.380
Yes on Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?
— 2530.2 @ 0.861
Yes on Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?
— 2673.25 @ 0.114
No on Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
— 255.52 @ 0.889
No on Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
— 49.05 @ 0.661
No on Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
— 50.94 @ 0.693
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
— 100 @ 0.661
Yes on Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
— 1000 @ 0.100
Yes on Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
— 1000 @ 0.013
Yes on Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
— 3329.88 @ 0.161
Yes on Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?
— 43.49 @ 0.170
No on Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?
— 85 @ 0.193
No on Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
— 100 @ 0.720
Yes on Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
— 1875 @ 0.008
No on Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
— 71.05 @ 0.430
Yes on Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
— 1119.94 @ 0.826
Yes on Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
— 603.49 @ 0.870
Yes on Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
— 386.9 @ 0.890
Yes on Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
— 723.89 @ 0.680
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
— 649 @ 0.313
Yes on Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
— 260 @ 0.011
Yes on Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?
— 120.58 @ 0.440
No on Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
— 200 @ 0.440
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
— 48.17 @ 0.090
Yes on Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
— 459.05 @ 0.269
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.