No on Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
— 248.75 @ 0.710
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JS
JsonStatham
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$4.99k
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyTrading pattern
Politics-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Politics 47%
Why Politics-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 47% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $29 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.13 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $28.86 · p90 $111.78
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 21:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?
— 2 @ 0.802
Yes on Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
— 183 @ 0.370
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?
— 163 @ 0.667
No on US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
— 257 @ 0.450
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?
— 11.5 @ 0.770
Yes on Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?
— 15 @ 0.210
No on Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on November 6, 2026?
— 20 @ 0.460
Yes on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 25%-30%?
— 235 @ 0.136
No on Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 20, 2026?
— 17 @ 0.120
No on Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?
— 20 @ 0.618
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%?
— 66 @ 0.720
Yes on Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
— 20 @ 0.540
No on Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
— 115 @ 0.567
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?
— 43 @ 0.755
Yes on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?
— 61 @ 0.240
Yes on Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 5?
— 145 @ 0.708
No on Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?
— 20 @ 0.582
Yes on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 20%-25%?
— 50 @ 0.092
No on Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
— 87 @ 0.860
Yes on Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
— 89.98 @ 0.762
Yes on Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
— 62.81 @ 0.260
No on US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
— 270 @ 0.166
No on Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
— 312 @ 0.812
Yes on Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
— 54 @ 0.721
Yes on Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
— 250 @ 0.038
Yes on Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
— 91.76 @ 0.045
Yes on Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
— 16 @ 0.046
No on Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?
— 20 @ 0.950
No on US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31?
— 31 @ 0.660
No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
— 328 @ 0.760
Yes on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?
— 150 @ 0.134
No on Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
— 150 @ 0.780
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?
— 20 @ 0.850
No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
— 294 @ 0.180
No on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 45%-50%?
— 150 @ 0.745
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
— 303.32 @ 0.241
Yes on Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
— 336.2 @ 0.323
Yes on Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
— 88 @ 0.640
No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
— 1.22 @ 0.620
No on Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
— 30 @ 0.690
No on Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?
— 111 @ 0.840
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
— 30.25 @ 0.380
No on Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
— 42.8 @ 0.510
No on Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
— 117 @ 0.710
Yes on Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
— 62.63 @ 0.410
Yes on Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
— 19 @ 0.320
Yes on Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
— 135 @ 0.453
No on Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
— 20 @ 0.590
No on Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
— 156.9 @ 0.558
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.