Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 2000 @ 0.010
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4C
0x4c15…532f
All-time PnL
$15.35
Win rate
36.8%
11 of 29
Total trades
29
Avg PnL / trade
$0.55
30d PnL
$77.43
30d trades
27
30d wins
7
25.9%
30d volume
$1.63k
Category edge
Crypto
30.8%
-15.3pp
n=26
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
30.8% (8 wins / 18 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 4-day series
$10.43
-$122.70
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialistmedium confidence · 29 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.66 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.41 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $50 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.90 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
⚠ Based on 29 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 41¢ · 29 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $50.00 · p90 $116.15
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 00:00 · 29 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 163.93 @ 0.640
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 163.934425 @ 0.610
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— -$0.12 · 116.27 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— +$66.28 · 116.27907 @ 0.430
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— -$0.25 · 250 @ 0.999
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— +$150.00 · 250 @ 0.400
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— -$0.83 · 9.18 @ 0.090
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— -$5.00 · 500 @ 0.010
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— -$20.00 · 34.917585 @ 0.573
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
— -$20.00 · 2000 @ 0.010
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$20.00 · 666.666667 @ 0.030
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$20.00 · 125 @ 0.160
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— -$0.43 · 43.47 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— +$23.48 · 43.478261 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— -$20.00 · 2000 @ 0.010
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$3.00 · 11.538462 @ 0.260
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
— -$50.00 · 360.772 @ 0.139
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
— -$52.54 · 283.92 @ 0.185
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
— -$100.00 · 196.078432 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
— -$100.00 · 10000 @ 0.010
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
— +$132.49 · 232.44 @ 0.430
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— +$53.93 · 109 @ 0.505
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
— -$0.14 · 138.1 @ 0.999
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
— +$7.47 · 57.471261 @ 0.870
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
— +$30.63 · 80.634921 @ 0.620
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
— +$25.45 · 45.454546 @ 0.440
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
— -$20.00 · 172.073332 @ 0.116
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
— -$47.00 · 130.972221 @ 0.359
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.