No on Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
— 96.15 @ 0.700
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AL
alex20011
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$5.89k
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independentlyTrading pattern
Politics-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Politics 53%
Why Politics-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 53% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.79 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $50 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.11 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 79¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $49.53 · p90 $116.94
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 16:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?
— 96.15 @ 0.998
No on Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
— 96.15 @ 0.948
No on Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
— 96.15 @ 0.995
No on Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 13m?
— 96.15 @ 0.997
No on Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
— 51.99 @ 0.999
No on Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
— 51.99 @ 0.996
No on Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
— 51.99 @ 0.819
No on Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.999
No on Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.999
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.998
No on Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.906
No on Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.994
No on Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.998
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.760
No on Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.973
No on Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.950
No on Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 120.16 @ 0.803
Yes on Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 306.12 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 306.12 @ 0.001
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 306.12 @ 0.993
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 306.12 @ 0.407
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 23?
— 20 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 23?
— 20 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23?
— 20 @ 0.710
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 23?
— 20 @ 0.999
No on Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 466.31 @ 0.610
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23?
— 20.48 @ 0.650
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?
— 20.48 @ 0.560
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 23?
— 20.48 @ 0.970
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 23?
— 20.48 @ 0.991
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 23?
— 20.48 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 23?
— 20.37 @ 0.001
No on Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
— 31.93 @ 0.971
No on Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?
— 31.93 @ 0.720
Yes on Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on September 30, 2026?
— 27.01 @ 0.002
No on Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?
— 27.01 @ 0.538
No on Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on September 30, 2026?
— 27.01 @ 0.993
No on Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on September 30, 2026?
— 27.01 @ 0.994
No on Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on September 30, 2026?
— 27.01 @ 0.998
Yes on Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 223.18 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 223.18 @ 0.001
No on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 223.18 @ 0.993
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 223.18 @ 0.409
No on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 23?
— 7.33 @ 0.650
No on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 23?
— 7.33 @ 0.970
No on Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
— 634.79 @ 0.730
No on Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 23?
— 20.49 @ 0.962
No on Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 23?
— 20.49 @ 0.500
No on Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 23?
— 20.49 @ 0.988
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.