Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4880 @ 0.015
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FR
fred4332
All-time PnL
$4.44k
Win rate
40.0%
40 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$3.44k
30d PnL
$17.2k
30d trades
100
30d wins
2
2.0%
30d volume
$94.4k
Category edge
Crypto
35.7%
-10.3pp
n=42
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
35.7% (15 wins / 27 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 5-day series
$17.2k
-$17.2k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.34 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.24 — Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $873 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.12 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 24¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $872.94 · p90 $2.85k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 04:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5139.99 @ 0.016
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4880 @ 0.017
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4995 @ 0.018
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4599.99 @ 0.019
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5080 @ 0.020
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4900 @ 0.021
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4410 @ 0.025
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5872.36 @ 0.014
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4880 @ 0.015
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5208.81 @ 0.015
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 4879.99 @ 0.016
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5778.97 @ 0.017
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5779.85 @ 0.017
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5923 @ 0.022
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 23.052632 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 1517.894737 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5000 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5000 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 9515 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 8015 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 228.83 @ 0.223
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 356.16 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 8225 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 6181.27 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5192.26 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5205 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 367 @ 0.220
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 792 @ 0.220
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 985 @ 0.220
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 842 @ 0.210
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 961.3 @ 0.211
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 4?
— 256.41 @ 0.220
Yes on Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0300 October 26-November 1?
— -$9.00 · 90 @ 0.100
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 55 @ 0.255
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5 @ 0.220
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5000 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5153 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5170 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5176.65 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5166.77 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5176.95 @ 0.180
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 16.87 @ 0.170
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5005 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 47.7 @ 0.170
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5292 @ 0.180
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?
— +$866.07 · 1546.2 @ 0.560
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?
— +$3.51k · 6259.58 @ 0.561
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 5519.57 @ 0.179
Yes on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?
— +$2.88k · 5047.15 @ 0.570
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.