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meril

0x2afc…317apolymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
-$1.33k
Win rate
22.2%
22 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$32.88
30d PnL
-$1.18k
30d trades
100
30d wins
8
8.0%
30d volume
$27.4k
Category edge
Sports
27.0%
-16.1pp
n=89

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
27.0% (24 wins / 65 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 15 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$0.00
-$1.51k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.02 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.46 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $200 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.95 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 46¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $200.00 · p90 $528.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
on Will Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC end in a draw? AND Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-11-02?
— 1262.063604 @ 0.191
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?
— -$88.47 · 1130 @ 0.922
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
on Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
— 636.674566 @ 0.368
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?
— +$881.40 · 1130 @ 0.220
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
on Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?
— 827.630812 @ 0.211
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
RC Deportivo A Coruña on Spread: RC Deportivo A Coruña (-1.5)
— -$39.10 · 170 @ 0.230
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Sport Lisboa e Benfica on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5)
— 1000 @ 0.300
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
— -$162.09 · 500 @ 0.324
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Atalanta BC on 1st Half Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
— -$110.88 · 504 @ 0.220
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 5.5
— -$1.00 · 999.97 @ 0.999
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
— -$0.90 · 900.15 @ 0.999
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
— -$139.75 · 461.3 @ 0.303
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
— -$1.35 · 5 @ 0.270
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
No on Will FK Zenit win on 2026-11-02?
— -$100.00 · 500 @ 0.200
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Cameron Norrie on Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
— -$56.81 · 500 @ 0.886
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Cameron Norrie on Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
— +$205.00 · 500 @ 0.590
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
OG on Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
— -$105.00 · 250 @ 0.420
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Under on Tabilo vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5
— +$0.96 · 8 @ 0.880
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Under on Tabilo vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5
— +$14.44 · 111 @ 0.870
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01?
— -$0.50 · 500 @ 0.999
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5
— +$240.10 · 750 @ 0.320
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will Nashville SC win on 2026-11-01?
— +$350.00 · 500 @ 0.300
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
SC Braga on Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)
— -$30.00 · 500 @ 0.940
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Juventus FC on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
— -$42.86 · 706.98 @ 0.939
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Juventus FC on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
— -$23.58 · 293 @ 0.920
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
— +$140.00 · 700 @ 0.200
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
— -$150.95 · 700 @ 0.216
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5
— +$50.00 · 1000 @ 0.050
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
— +$900.00 · 1200 @ 0.750
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Juventus FC on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
— -$769.57 · 1000 @ 0.230
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
— -$572.00 · 1100 @ 0.480
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
— +$513.49 · 649.99 @ 0.790
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5
— -$240.00 · 1000 @ 0.240
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
— +$200.00 · 999.98 @ 0.200
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Club The Strongest on Spread: Club The Strongest (-1.5)
— -$413.67 · 486.67 @ 0.150
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Juventus FC on Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
— +$800.00 · 1000 @ 0.200
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Club The Strongest on Spread: Club The Strongest (-1.5)
— +$339.81 · 500 @ 0.320
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
CA Boca Juniors on Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)
— -$116.84 · 460 @ 0.254
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
CA Boca Juniors on Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)
— -$9.88 · 39.98 @ 0.247
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will PAOK Thessaloniki win on 2026-11-01?
— -$6.27 · 57 @ 0.890
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Under on Académico de Viseu FC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5
— -$85.00 · 499.99 @ 0.170
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
No on Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?
— -$135.00 · 499.99 @ 0.270
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Eintracht Frankfurt on Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
— -$126.00 · 900 @ 0.860
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Olympique Lyonnais on Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
— -$45.00 · 499.98 @ 0.910
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
— -$136.00 · 800 @ 0.170
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
— +$45.00 · 500 @ 0.090
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
on Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5) AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
— 1628.513964 @ 0.057
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Yes on Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
— -$155.00 · 500 @ 0.310
↓SELL·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
Over on Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 1.5
— +$215.00 · 499.99 @ 0.430
↑BUY·6d agostale·0x2afc…317awhy? →
on Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5) AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
— 1628.513976 @ 0.147
Integrity indicators
LOWWin rate 27.0% vs market-implied 43.1% (z=-3.07) in Sports over 89 markets

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.