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EL

elgrandes

0x287d…a8c1polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
-$102.72
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$7.34
30d PnL
-$102.72
30d trades
100
30d wins
7
7.0%
30d volume
$6.39k
Category edge
Sports
43.8%
+0.7pp
n=32

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
43.8% (14 wins / 18 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.53 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $18 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.87 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 53¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $17.93 · p90 $131.44
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
— 83.46 @ 0.260
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Under on Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
— 1317.895834 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Predators on Hurricanes vs. Predators
— 28.571429 @ 0.350
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
No on Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
— 22.881579 @ 0.760
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Over on Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
— 37.735848 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 32.512196 @ 0.410
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 16.780488 @ 0.410
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 121.195122 @ 0.410
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 40.707318 @ 0.410
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 28.829269 @ 0.410
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Over on Newcastle United Jets vs. Shanghai Port FC: O/U 3.5
— 14.913044 @ 0.460
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Over on Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
— 57.702128 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
No on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 180.333334 @ 0.390
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
No on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 31.051283 @ 0.390
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
No on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?
— 51.076924 @ 0.390
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Clippers on Raptors vs. Clippers
— 382.135136 @ 0.370
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
— 736.702128 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
— 274.192308 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
— 833.25532 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Raptors on Raptors vs. Clippers
— 365 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
— 229.884616 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
— 27.829788 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Raptors on Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
— 107.893618 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Clippers on Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
— 1333.333334 @ 0.450
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Clippers on Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
— 380.8 @ 0.500
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Under on Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5
— 176.787235 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Under on Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5
— 134.19149 @ 0.470
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 7.265625 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 6.234375 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
— 381 @ 0.190
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 8.359375 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 20.625 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Under on Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
— 222.8125 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 4.890625 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 5.078125 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 21.359375 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 5.578125 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 6.09375 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 5.34375 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 101.25 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Hawks on Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
— 5.5625 @ 0.640
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5
— 71.793104 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5
— 27.189654 @ 0.580
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Under on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 4.5
— 6.986841 @ 0.760
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
No on Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?
— 86.573528 @ 0.680
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
George Mason Patriots on UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots
— 29.94736 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Under on FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 6.5
— +$1.13 · 125.993888 @ 0.991
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Under on FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
— +$101.14 · 224.763637 @ 0.550
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Sport Lisboa e Benfica on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5)
— 21.066667 @ 0.300
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x287d…a8c1why? →
Yes on Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-10-31?
— 12.732143 @ 0.560
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.