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PE

Pellepele

0x17db…c1e8polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$1.49k
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$248.05
30d PnL
$1.49k
30d trades
100
30d wins
6
6.0%
30d volume
$37.8k
Category edge
Crypto
100.0%
+54.0pp
n=9
Other
100.0%
+17.4pp
n=16

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
100.0% (25 wins / 0 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$1.49k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Other Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Other 74%
Why Other Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Other 74% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Other specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.87 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $302 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.07 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 87¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $302.50 · p90 $915.57
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 15:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 600 @ 0.960
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 110 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Meta (META) finish week of November 2 above $630?
— 105 @ 0.830
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Meta (META) close above $630 on November 3?
— 266 @ 0.938
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480-$490 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 1020.041 @ 0.951
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 2 above $500?
— 1366 @ 0.753
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 494.845333 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 1200 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 2 above $530?
— 1220.67 @ 0.957
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 120 @ 0.919
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 2 above $530?
— 124.723542 @ 0.925
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $200?
— 1195 @ 0.681
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $195?
— 1037.441857 @ 0.829
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?
— 735.48816 @ 0.975
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET
— +$8.23 · 20.566667 @ 0.600
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET
— +$10.05 · 27.158729 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4PM ET
— +$343.33 · 940.31 @ 0.635
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 393 @ 0.978
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3PM ET
— +$275.72 · 1039.296619 @ 0.735
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 4?
— 905.040466 @ 0.985
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $950?
— 500 @ 0.920
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $950?
— 500 @ 0.920
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?
— 1196 @ 0.930
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $310 Week of November 2 2026?
— 48.86 @ 0.960
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of November 2 2026?
— 60.01 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $315 Week of November 2 2026?
— 12.288633 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $310 Week of November 2 2026?
— 29.77894 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 2 above $310?
— 27.969066 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 300 @ 0.998
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Micron (MU) close at >$980 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 500 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $950?
— 305 @ 0.880
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $47.50 Week of November 2 2026?
— 20.1 @ 0.987
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Micron (MU) close at >$980 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 500 @ 0.930
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $260 Week of November 2 2026?
— 29.67 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of November 2 2026?
— 38.6669 @ 0.973
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of November 2 2026?
— 320.01 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of November 2 2026?
— 300.1166 @ 0.980
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 300 @ 0.998
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 Week of November 2 2026?
— 396.1356 @ 0.981
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 330 @ 0.998
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?
— 330 @ 0.998
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $255 Week of November 2 2026?
— 1606.01 @ 0.978
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 2 above $260?
— 15.886566 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 Week of November 2 2026?
— 32.5876 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on November 2?
— 800 @ 0.995
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 6?
— 1077.141173 @ 0.850
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?
— 5 @ 0.720
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 8?
— 1437.943662 @ 0.710
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 5?
— 340.29 @ 0.898
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x17db…c1e8why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?
— 25 @ 0.927
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.