Yes on Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?
— 3554.98 @ 0.440
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MA
MadsJay
All-time PnL
-$4.51k
Win rate
40.0%
19 of 47
Total trades
47
Avg PnL / trade
-$901.79
30d PnL
$946.54
30d trades
5
30d wins
2
40.0%
30d volume
$3.45k
Category edge
Sports
6.5%
-36.6pp
n=46
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
6.5% (3 wins / 43 misses)Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$0.00
-$5.46k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 47 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.64 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $41 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.98 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 64¢ · 47 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $40.95 · p90 $541.45
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 12:00 · 47 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Over on Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
— +$3.46 · 10.17 @ 0.660
Over on Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
— +$922.51 · 2713.26 @ 0.660
Yes on Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?
— +$27.02 · 108.09 @ 0.750
Over on Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
— -$6.45 · 9.62 @ 0.670
Over on Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
— -$110.40 · 184 @ 0.600
Over on Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
— -$815.40 · 1359 @ 0.600
Over on Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
— -$1.08k · 1803 @ 0.600
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$541.45 · 833 @ 0.650
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$187.74 · 298 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$157.50 · 250 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$24.57 · 39 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$314.37 · 499 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$24.57 · 39 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$16.38 · 26 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$78.12 · 124 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$93.24 · 148 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$131.04 · 208 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$8.19 · 13 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$14.49 · 23 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$15.75 · 25 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$10.71 · 17 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$8.19 · 13 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$13.23 · 21 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$20.79 · 33 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$8.82 · 14 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$21.42 · 34 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$36.54 · 58 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$37.80 · 60 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$57.96 · 92 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$23.94 · 38 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$190.26 · 302 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$47.25 · 75 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$206.64 · 328 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$406.35 · 645 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$39.69 · 63 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$185.85 · 295 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$40.95 · 65 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$47.25 · 75 @ 0.630
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$6.70 · 10 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$20.10 · 30 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$22.11 · 33 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$134.67 · 201 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$67.00 · 100 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$130.65 · 195 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$24.12 · 36 @ 0.670
Yes on Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?
— -$31.49 · 47 @ 0.670
Integrity indicators
HIGHWin rate 6.5% vs market-implied 43.1% (z=-5.01) in Sports over 46 markets
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.