⌘K
← leaderboard
MY

myudser

0x101e…8ac4polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$132.43
Win rate
62.1%
62 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$4.57
30d PnL
$132.43
30d trades
100
30d wins
18
18.0%
30d volume
$4.87k
Category edge
Crypto
69.4%
+23.4pp
n=98

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
69.4% (68 wins / 30 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$309.14
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.48 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.73 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $20 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.14 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 73¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $20.00 · p90 $103.94
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 305.905152 @ 0.327
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
— 51.282052 @ 0.390
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— +$14.26 · 118.82 @ 0.120
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— -$20.00 · 118.82353 @ 0.168
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
— -$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
— -$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
— -$5.00 · 125 @ 0.040
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
— -$31.37 · 241.27 @ 0.870
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
— +$16.28 · 116.279064 @ 0.860
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
— +$25.00 · 125 @ 0.800
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— -$5.26 · 105.26 @ 0.950
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— +$4.83 · 161.11 @ 0.030
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— +$5.26 · 105.263158 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— -$20.00 · 111.111112 @ 0.180
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— -$20.00 · 50 @ 0.400
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
— +$5.63 · 105.63156 @ 0.947
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
— +$16.28 · 116.279064 @ 0.860
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
— -$1.07 · 107.42 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
— +$7.42 · 107.421277 @ 0.931
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— -$2.87 · 287.23 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$0.62 · 20.618533 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$0.62 · 20.618533 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$0.62 · 20.618557 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$1.28 · 21.276583 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$1.01 · 101.0101 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$3.09 · 103.092784 @ 0.970
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— -$16.87 · 120.48 @ 0.860
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$20.48 · 120.481923 @ 0.830
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
— -$69.40 · 232.55 @ 0.702
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
— +$132.56 · 232.55814 @ 0.430
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— +$0.20 · 20.202 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— -$20.00 · 1625.635 @ 0.012
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— +$24.00 · 57.14 @ 0.420
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— -$20.00 · 57.142858 @ 0.350
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— -$2.47 · 247.09 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$1.05 · 21.05262 @ 0.950
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— -$5.00 · 83.333334 @ 0.060
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.20 · 20.202 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.20 · 20.202 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.20 · 20.202 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.20 · 20.202 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.20 · 20.202 @ 0.990
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.62 · 20.618533 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$1.28 · 21.276583 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$1.28 · 21.276583 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.62 · 20.618533 @ 0.970
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.41 · 20.40815 @ 0.980
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$0.83 · 20.833325 @ 0.960
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— -$5.00 · 38.461539 @ 0.130
↓SELL·5d agostale·0x101e…8ac4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
— -$1.88 · 187.95 @ 0.990
Integrity indicators
MEDIUMWin rate 69.4% vs market-implied 46.0% (z=4.64) in Crypto over 98 markets

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.