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LightParadox

0x051a…1db9polymarket ↗last active 5d ago
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$26.8k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.59 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $17 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.22 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 59¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $17.49 · p90 $663.64
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Murphy Cassone on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 2339 @ 0.730
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Murphy Cassone on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 818 @ 0.730
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Jack Kennedy on Charlottesville: Jack Kennedy vs Hynek Barton
— 245.75 @ 0.520
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Murphy Cassone on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 1857 @ 0.730
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Murphy Cassone on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 670 @ 0.730
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5
— 5 @ 0.240
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Jack Kennedy on Charlottesville: Jack Kennedy vs Hynek Barton
— 5218 @ 0.510
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Eduardo Ribeiro on Costa do Sauipe: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Luis Felipe Miguel
— 100.025385 @ 0.065
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Ugo Humbert on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 2813 @ 0.790
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Ugo Humbert on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 1128 @ 0.790
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
— 5705.75 @ 0.480
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Murphy Cassone on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 159 @ 0.780
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Jack Kennedy on Charlottesville: Jack Kennedy vs Hynek Barton
— 325 @ 0.490
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Tianjin Pioneers on Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lions
— 15 @ 0.440
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5
— 5.99 @ 0.630
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 4 - 3 Santos FC?
— 180 @ 0.994
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Over on CS Cristal vs. FC Cajamarca: O/U 4.5
— 18.079471 @ 0.453
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Over on CS Cristal vs. FC Cajamarca: O/U 4.5
— 0.93 @ 0.450
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5
— 80 @ 0.750
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 1 - 3 Santos FC?
— 31.25 @ 0.968
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on CA Platense vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5
— 20 @ 0.760
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Botic van de Zandschulp on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 19.95 @ 0.180
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Yes on Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Fortaleza FC end in a draw?
— 40 @ 0.400
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Ugo Humbert on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 583.8 @ 0.850
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Ugo Humbert on Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp
— 31.8 @ 0.850
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Sport Lisboa e Benfica on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
— 775 @ 0.010
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5
— 348 @ 0.010
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
— 50 @ 0.998
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Over on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5
— 46 @ 0.030
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on CD Limache vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5
— 5 @ 0.530
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
— 50 @ 0.997
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to Score
— 100 @ 0.997
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 289 @ 0.010
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
— 31.58 @ 0.985
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
FC Alverca on Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
— 10 @ 0.997
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 0 - 2 Santos FC?
— 520 @ 0.967
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Yes on Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?
— 10.8 @ 0.300
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
— 40 @ 0.989
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 9.88 @ 0.989
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?
— 50 @ 0.989
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 0 - 3 Santos FC?
— 126 @ 0.985
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
No on Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 0 - 3 Santos FC?
— 36 @ 0.985
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Kings on Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
— 31.65 @ 0.600
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5
— 181.5 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5
— 263.5 @ 0.940
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Yes on Exact Score: CA Platense 0 - 0 CA Central Córdoba?
— 20 @ 0.080
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Nicolas Mejia on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 50 @ 0.100
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on CS Cristal vs. FC Cajamarca: O/U 6.5
— 1508 @ 0.955
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Nicolas Mejia on Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
— 16.75 @ 0.080
↑BUY·5d agostale·0x051a…1db9why? →
Under on Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5
— 40 @ 0.320
Integrity indicators
LOW3 wallets placed same-direction trades within 500ms on 1 occasion (1% of this wallet's trades)

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.