Learn
What prediction markets are, what makes a wallet worth watching, and the patterns that make activity look more convincing than it is.
Basics
Start here if prediction markets are new to you.
- What is Polymarket?The largest crypto prediction market, and why its on-chain data is unusually transparent.
- What is a prediction market?How a market turns a question into a price, and what that price does and doesn't mean.
- What is smart money?What makes a wallet worth following, and why a good run is not the same as an edge.
- What is a sweep?When several tracked wallets take the same side in a short window, and how we group it.
- How to read a Predtape signalEvery field on a signal card, and what the verdict is claiming.
Manipulation patterns
How public activity gets shaped to look like conviction.